An interactive look at real and nominal earnings for India's regular/salaried, casual, and self-employed workers from PLFS data, 2018 to 2025, showing casual labour wages rose in real terms while salaried and self-employed earnings stayed roughly flat.

The only Indian wage that grew

Real earnings for India's three worker categories, FY2018-19 through 2025. Casual day-labour is the one that got an actual raise.

PLFS splits India's workforce into three categories: regular wage/salaried employees, casual labour, and the self-employed. Between FY2018-19 and 2025, only one of the three saw its earnings rise faster than prices. It wasn't the salaried class, and it wasn't the self-employed. It was casual day-labour — the category with the least security and, on paper, the least bargaining power.

The gap, in today's rupees
Real earnings by category

Each line is deflated to September 2025 purchasing power using CPI-IW, chained across the 2016-base revision with the Labour Bureau's own linking factor (2.88). Solid segments use PLFS's original July-June survey year; the lighter, dashed segment from 2022 uses the revamped January-December calendar-year design introduced in 2025, with 2022-2024 back-filled by that redesign's own annual report. The two measurement bases are not identical and shouldn't be read as one continuous line — see the methodology note below.

Two readings
Bull case

Casual labour has spent a decade near the bottom of every wage table. A real wage rise of roughly 14-16% in six years — after MGNREGA indexation and a tightening rural labour market post-COVID — is casual labour finally clawing back ground, not a fluke. Meanwhile salaried and self-employed earnings holding flat in real terms, rather than falling, is itself consistent with a broader economy where nominal growth is at least keeping pace with inflation for most workers.

Bear case

Flat real wages for regular/salaried and self-employed workers across six years of a growing economy is not a success story — it means an entire decade's GDP growth translated into essentially zero real income gain for roughly 78% of India's workforce. Casual labour's gain may simply reflect people being pushed out of salaried and self-employment into worse, less secure daily-wage work, which would show up as a "wage gain" in this narrow sense while representing a deterioration in job quality. The data here can't distinguish between these two stories on its own.

Methodology and sources

Wages: PLFS Annual Reports 2018-19, 2019-20, 2021-22, 2023-24 (July-June survey year, quarterly first-visit data averaged across four quarters, rural+urban combined, all-India, both sexes) and PLFS Annual Report 2025 (January-December calendar year, revamped design, backfilled 2022-2024), all from mospi.gov.in.
Deflator: CPI-IW (Industrial Workers), Economic Survey 2025-26 Statistical Appendix Table 4.3, sourced to Labour Bureau. Chained across the 2016-base revision using the official linking factor of 2.88. Calendar-year figures are deflated using the fiscal-year CPI-IW average for the fiscal year containing most of that calendar year (e.g. CY2022 ≈ FY2022-23's average, which covers nine of CY2022's twelve months) — a documented approximation, not an exact calendar-year index.
2025 figure: marked as provisional. The CPI-IW anchor for "today's rupees" uses the average of April-November 2025 monthly indices (the most recent available at time of writing), not a full fiscal-year average.
What's missing: FY2020-21 and FY2022-23 on the original July-June basis. The FY2020-21 Annual Report was reachable only as a condensed bulletin without earnings tables; the FY2022-23 full Annual Report could not be located at a stable URL. The calendar-year 2022-2023 figures partially substitute for this gap on a different time basis, which is why the chart shows a basis change rather than a smooth line through it.
Not shown: the FY2017-18 Annual Report reports rural and urban earnings separately with no combined column, so it isn't comparable to the combined figures charted here.